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Tracker upgraded (Aug 2026)
Updated 2026 outbound decision guides
Last reviewed: August 2026 · Cadence: biweekly when volatile / monthly otherwise · Playbook: Going global · Centre: Outbound · China trade: Trade & customs guide.
How to use this tracker
- Trade compliance owners scan the Watch list on cadence; product and logistics join when classification or destination risk moves.
- Status legend: Stable baseline · Active evolution · High volatility · Interface (customs, sanctions, investment screening).
- Not a screening tool. Run denied-party, end-use, and licence determinations in licensed systems with counsel—not from this page.
Watch list — current priorities (Aug 2026)
| Theme | Status | Operator impact | Owner | Portal depth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US export controls (EAR-oriented themes) | High volatility | Classification, licence exceptions, entity/list screening, re-exports, China-related tech and manufacturing equipment | Trade + Legal | US export controls guide |
| US import / tariff measures | Active evolution | Section 301-style duties, classification, valuation, forced-labour documentation themes | Customs + Finance | US import/export |
| EU dual-use & export controls | Active evolution | EU dual-use list, national measures, Germany as logistics hub risk | Trade (EU lane) | German customs / controls · EU trade compliance |
| Trade remedies (AD/CVD) | Active | Product-specific duties; questionnaire / defence timelines if named | Trade remedy counsel | EU AD defence |
| China export controls & licensing | Active evolution | Controlled items, technologies, dual-use catalogues; exporter compliance from PRC side | China trade counsel | China trade guide · Import/export foreign biz |
| Sanctions / restricted parties | High volatility | Customer, bank, vessel, end-user hits; payment and logistics blocks | Compliance + Treasury | Counsel + screening tools |
| Investment screening (e.g. CFIUS-type) | Interface | Not export control, but often same tech thesis—M&A and greenfield | M&A Legal | CFIUS guide |
| Rules of origin / “China + 1” | Active | Tariff engineering vs substantial transformation; Vietnam/ASEAN shifts | Supply chain + Customs | China vs Vietnam |
| Semiconductors / AI compute interface | High volatility | Tools, chips, model-training infrastructure narratives | Product + Trade | Semi equipment controls · AI tracker |
Lane map (who cares about what)
| Lane | Typical questions | Start here |
|---|---|---|
| Chinese exporter → US | Can we ship? Licence? List hit? Tariff stack? | US export + import guides · this tracker |
| Chinese exporter → EU | Dual-use? AD exposure? Customs valuation? | EU trade · German customs · AD defence |
| MNC exporting from China | PRC export licence + destination controls | China trade guide · foreign biz import/export |
| Tech / AI hardware | Controls + AI product rules + data | AI centre · privacy transfers if data moves |
| Manufacturing shift | Origin, labour, investment entry | CN vs VN · corridors |
Program skeleton (minimum viable trade compliance)
- Product matrix — SKU → HS code → dual-use/control tags → destinations.
- Party screening — customers, banks, forwarders, end-users; escalation path.
- End-use / end-user diligence — especially for tools, chemicals, electronics, software.
- Licence calendar — applications, conditions, recordkeeping.
- Contract clauses — export compliance, anti-diversion, audit rights.
- Training — sales and logistics (where most leakage happens).
- Incident response — hold shipment, voluntary disclosure analysis with counsel.
Changelog
| Date | Change | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | Tracker v1.0 launched: multi-lane watch list, program skeleton, links to US/EU/China trade guides and CN–VN manufacturing compare. | Gives GTM and compliance a single scan page instead of only long-form articles. |
Next refreshes: add dated measure rows when major jurisdictions publish list updates; keep product-level detail in counsel memos, not on this public page.
After each tracker update
- [ ] Diff Watch list against your product × destination matrix
- [ ] Re-run screening policy if sanctions/list volatility flagged
- [ ] Brief sales on any “hold and escalate” categories
- [ ] Check in-flight licences and broker instructions
- [ ] Sync with AI/hardware teams if compute/tools rows moved
- [ ] Stamp “trade tracker reviewed [date]” in compliance calendar
Related & counsel
Outbound playbook China trade lawyers Overseas network Find counsel
US export controls · China vs Vietnam · ESG & forced labour · City compare
General information only—not legal advice. Export controls and sanctions change without notice. Use licensed screening tools and qualified counsel before shipping or contracting. China Legal Portal Editorial.
Attribution
Reviewed by Helen Yao, Beijing Yingke (Zhuhai) Law Firm. Advises Chinese companies on export-control and trade-sanctions compliance programmes (ECP), licence applications, entity-list themes and supply-chain de-risking across PRC, US and EU regimes. View directory profile →
Review tier: Reviewed by — accuracy review of drafts for orientation only. Content remains general information — not legal advice for a specific matter, and no attorney–client relationship is created by reading these pages.
Last reviewed: August 2026 · Related: Primary sources · Outbound decision hub.
